#Seasonal Trends #Stocks #Bonds #Gold #Silver

Seasonality

The old American idiom of a day late and dollar short is an phrase easily applied to majority's ability to time (buy or sell) US stocks. The majority, influenced more by instinctual behavioral tendency of the individual to seek acceptance of an emotionally-driven crowd than act independently in the minority, views rising and falling stocks prices as bullish and bearish. This tendency that drives them chase when probabilities favor fading relegates the majority as the consistent bagholders of history's panics and trend changes.

Subscriber Comments

Sell in May and go away. Easy advise, but long-term trends clearly show us that buying and selling adjustment must be made month to month within 4 year (business) cycle (see Seasonal Trends). April and May are generally difficult months during the second year of the 4 year cycle. Pros are eyeing the September to December period.

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