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Subscription service has been restarted. Free access to the Evaluation Matrix has not changed. The Evaluation Matrix will be updated periodically.
PREV (the Matrix)
Changes to Matrix:
Extending primary (monthly) database into 90's, 80's, 70's, 60's, and 50's. This increases the number of bull and bear impulse above 20 in many markets.
December 22, 2018: During the shutdown of the federal government, the Commitments of Traders report will not be published. When the federal government operations return to normal, CFTC will resume publication of the Commitments of Traders report.
The US Dollar Index has entered alignment. This signal is consistent with FXE and FXF alignments recorded yesterday. Highly compressed trends, a precursor to acceleration, help subscribers focus on markets ready to move.
Cocoa has been a high compression market for weeks. High compression markets are opportunities, but anticipating direction won't be easy until the CFTC resumes publication of the COT report. Adaptive traders recognize high compression and follow early life cycle alignment as it materializes. Compression in the juniors is something to watch.
BuST & BrST > 0, observations made in the daily, weekly, or monthly time frames, warn investors where upside or downside alignments are pushing against the cycle of time. The computer defines these alignments as Early, Mid, or Late. Late cycle alignments are vulnerable to reversal. A daily BuST or BrST > 2, for example, suggests a growing probability of consolidation ahead even in Early and Mid cycle alignments.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
Subscribers are encouraged to submit comments or questions about the Matrix/Insights.
Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.