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Changes to Matrix:
Extending primary (monthly) database into 90's, 80's, 70's, 60's, and 50's. This increases the number of bull and bear impulse above 20 in many markets.
December 22, 2018: During the shutdown of the federal government, the Commitments of Traders report will not be published. When the federal government operations return to normal, CFTC will resume publication of the Commitments of Traders report.
Early cycle alignments, the most powerful trend definition in the Matrix, are restricted to Palladium and the juniors. I know the world wants to be bullish US stocks, but the VIX trend accurately describes the troubles they face. The VIX's composite trend, Daily Down (bullish), Weekly Up (bearish), and Monthly UP BO (bearish), should be sending shivers down the bulls spine. Since the majority focuses only on the daily action, it's likely they have no idea that stocks are teetering on significant bearish trend. Today's setup could turn bullish, but it will take time. The path of least resistance, a setup that requires very little work, sends US stocks into triple downside alignment. Watch out if that happens.
BuST & BrST > 0, observations made in the daily, weekly, or monthly time frames, warn investors where upside or downside alignments are pushing against the cycle of time. The computer defines these alignments as Early, Mid, or Late. Late cycle alignments are vulnerable to reversal. A daily BuST or BrST > 2, for example, suggests a growing probability of consolidation ahead even in Early and Mid cycle alignments.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.