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Subscription service has been restarted. Free access to the Evaluation Matrix has not changed. The Evaluation Matrix will be updated periodically.
PREV (the Matrix)
The Commitments of Traders report will likely resume publication in the coming weeks, but hey, it's the government, so there's no guarantees. Return of the diffusion index will be welcome event. It's an absolutely critical tools that helps identify early and late life cycle trades. Trading without DI is similar to planning battle strategy without scouts, drones, and/or spy satellites.
While the gold sector alignment is gaining strength, it cannot be forgotten that confidence is driving it. The confidence oscillator (CE LTCO line 103 in the Matrix) suggests that the coming impulse, a trend strengthen with the passage of time, is being driven by time. CE LTCO bull phase (of confidence) is 84 weeks old. This may not seem very old, but BuST = 2.9 says it is. A transition to bear phase is coming in 2019 and gold's signs of life suggests the invisible hand understands it.
BuST & BrST > 0, observations made in the daily, weekly, or monthly time frames, warn investors where upside or downside alignments are pushing against the cycle of time. The computer defines these alignments as Early, Mid, or Late. Late cycle alignments are vulnerable to reversal. A daily BuST or BrST > 2, for example, suggests a growing probability of consolidation ahead even in Early and Mid cycle alignments.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.