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Gold's daily alignment cycle has been 'predicting' or increasing the odds of reset since BuST rose above 2. BuST = 3.44 after Thursday's close. A reset of alignment could be trigger after today's close or in the early part of next week. The coming reset is hitting Silver and the gold shares. Silver is flashing DBl DOWN alignment after Thursday's close and the gold shares are also pushing for another trend reset. It's also likely gold and silver's DI have fallen well below -60%. This suggests that the invisible hand understands TIME and is/was planning for the reset. At this point we're still guessing with DI, because the CFTC has yet to correct the data lag for the government shutdown.
The whole selloff in the precious metals complex was made a lot easier by stronger than expected Q4 GDP number. This number was likely known by bigger players. A stronger number puts the Fed back into play in 2019, or so they are selling. This narrative is making a reset in gold and the 10-year a lot easier. The 10-year whose daily BuST = 5.14 also needs a reset.
BuST & BrST > 0, observations made in the daily, weekly, or monthly time frames, warn investors where upside or downside alignments are pushing against the cycle of time. The computer defines these alignments as Early, Mid, or Late. Late cycle alignments are vulnerable to reversal. A daily BuST or BrST > 2, for example, suggests a growing probability of consolidation ahead even in Early and Mid cycle alignments.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.