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Subscription service has been restarted. Free access to the Evaluation Matrix has not changed. The Evaluation Matrix will be updated periodically.
PREV (the Matrix)
The Matrix is showing no new early cycle triple alignments. The high number of double alignments in sectors showing high compression defines transitional trends. This is especially true for the US stock sector (S). Will stocks break higher or lower? DI of the leading US stock market group offers insight to future direction. We look to the Matrix for help
Nasdaq 100 is leading. We focus here. What's Nasdaq 100 DI and WA? A high DI (>60%) and relatively low WA (<30%) suggests accumulation and a quiet market. These conditions favor continuation. Let the talking heads, well, talk. Depending on the day, they're either bullish or bearish to match the mood, yet the real composite trend is dynamic (ever changing).
The Sentiment and VIX models define the flow of the river as bullish or bearish (line 62). If it's bearish and you want to be bullish, you're swimming against the current. Those that do this usually drown.
BuST & BrST > 0, observations made in the daily, weekly, or monthly time frames, warn investors where upside or downside alignments are pushing against the cycle of time. The computer defines these alignments as Early, Mid, or Late. Late cycle alignments are vulnerable to reversal. A daily BuST or BrST > 2, for example, suggests a growing probability of consolidation ahead even in Early and Mid cycle alignments.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.