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PREV (the Matrix)
US Home Construciton sector entered alignment. The alignment is weak and MID cycle, so subscribers should focus on other plays.
Don't expect a lot of movement in the markets ahead of the FOMC decision. Traders treat the FOMC decisions as all important, but experience says they're not. The Fed interest short-term interest rate policy is just one variable among millions of expectations of profit/loss described as the invisible hand. Capital is flowing to the United States to park because periphery economies are imploding as the global economy slows. The slowing process will send some of the vulnerable, high leverage economies into recession in 2019.
The Matrix's output on palladium changes every day. Observation to come: Pd might fall out of alignment (loose its Trip UP designination), Early will change to Mid or Late, the trend will move in and out of EXP or COM, and the time profile of the trend will change. Traders use this information to take profits or add to long-term positions.
BuST & BrST > 0, observations made in the daily, weekly, or monthly time frames, warn investors where upside or downside alignments are pushing against the cycle of time. The computer defines these alignments as Early, Mid, or Late. Late cycle alignments are vulnerable to reversal. A daily BuST or BrST > 2, for example, suggests a growing probability of consolidation ahead even in Early and Mid cycle alignments.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.