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PREV (the Matrix)
New alignments: None
Alignment is only one aspect of the message of the market. Long term concentration or cycles are also extremely important. Long term cycles are influence by concentrations, the most important being mean cycle concentration. The computer highlights assets when cycle concentration - C1, C2, C3, or C4 climb above 1.96. C1 is the short term cycle, C2 and C3 are intermediate term cycles, and C4 is the long term cycle. Subscribers watching long term cycle concentration are urged to look when the computer highlights a market yellow. For example, long term corporate bonds have been highlighted yellow recently, because C1 and (possibly C2) have climbed above 1.96. The computer warns subscribers by writing,
"Probable short-term decline for Long Term Corp Bonds TRI (LTCBTRI)."
Download the Matrix to check the following. Long term bonds Mean cycle is 1.85. High, but not dangerous or even close to the all time high of 3.08 in 1982.10. The market produces charts loaded into the cloud that reveal long term cycle trends for subscribers. Charts can be access by clicking the blue links.
Long Term Cycle (Matrix Line 88-94)
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.