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PREV (the Matrix)
New alignments: 10-Year
Subscribers should be watching the S&P and VIX correlation. It's rise towards zero suggests growing strain behind the scenes as calendar enters the "sell in May and go away" time period. The market is too complex and smart for simple trading heuristics, but growing strain does imply vulnerability. The risk of an unexpected stock flush grows and ρ rises (Matrix Line 62, column L). Smart money doesn't necessary sell as ρ rise above 0, but it will not chase.
Smart money is watching the dollar. Trouble in periphery economies is sending capital into the US dollar, which ultimately, will break or reset the monetary system that's highly dependent of a falling dollar. The dollar up trend will be problematic for gold until confidence, belief that the Fed, Congress, or the President, can fix it. Confidence is deteriorating, but remains strong enough to suggest beliefs have not faltered. A bear phase in confidence is absolutely essentially for a rally in gold, the US dollar, and stocks. Don't guess, watch the Matrix to know when it unfolds.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.