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PREV (the Matrix)
New alignments: Canadian Dollar and Euro
Highly focused trends in the foreign exchanged markets has been a common weekly theme in the Matrix for months. Themes suggest a high degree of organization of capital flows into the United States. Doesn't make sense if viewed in terms of the US China trade war, but the global economy is highly interconnected. The US China trade war affects the global economy and capital flows which, in turn, affect the global capital flows and future trade discussions. Those that believe that the US has complete control over these events, a simplistic view of how things work, will likely be surprised by future outcomes.
Preliminary confidence unexpectedly rose in May. Some view the jump as temporary as the affects of tariffs filter through the global economy later this month, but subscribers should simply follow the trends. Confidence drives every trend in the Matrix. The unexpected jump, if it holds, would likely support the economy and delay the rally in precious metals at least 3-6 months.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.