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PREV (the Matrix)
New alignments: British Pound
Very few strong signals in the Matrix right now.
US stocks continue churn violently while the media focuses on the US China trade negotiations as it was the sole drive of the global economy and financial markets. What few realize is that economies like Europe and Japan are extremely weak and decaying fast. Central banks around the world are trapped. They can't normalize rates under such a weak economic backdrop, so they remain as the sole buyer of sovereign debt; private sector demand for sovereign debt as the global economy weakness is basically zero. Meanwhile, trust (confidence) in government to manage the economy and key institutions, continues to erode. Eventually confidence will deteriorate to the point that it will affect financial markets from risky to safe havens assets. Confidence will be the trigger that sparks trend reversals in assets considered dead or stuck in perpetual bear/bull markets. Subscribers will use the Matrix to track confidence, a bullish trend approaching 3 standard deviation in time. In other words, a change in confidence is coming largely because time is up in 2019. The phase of confidence is the most important trend of 2019.
Sentiment Model Confidence
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.