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Hey Eric— Roham Jackson (@rohamjackson) January 1, 2021
Specific “events” you have in mind that the market is starting to discount now?
Distortions are growing. Distortions suggest that the invisible hand recognizes the growing instability in markets, economies, and/or governance. US stocks normal adheres to the fundamentals. Distortions are temporary, while the fundamentals that define the economy pass from one generation to another.
The old saying that stocks are either a discounting or voting machine applies. It's important to know which is fueling the current trend. Trends driven by emotions (voting) usually end under a backdrop of pain and tears.
The Dividend Yield cycles help us frame the fundamentals against emotions. Extreme readings show us when the voting machine (emotions) is driving the trend. December's C3 = -2.97 is not only the lowest reading ever, but it also smashed through the previous record lows as if the rules have completely changed (oh crap!); please confirm these numbers in the Matrix. The world can call this setup a return to normal if it wants. The elimination of the Trump as President or Bitcoin will saved the day, if you will. Something is seriously wrong and we'll soon find out what that means. My skills lies in reading the invisible hand. The invisible hand is worried, or probably better described as acting decisively while the world watches Netflix.
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