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How long will the US stock market rally without what anyone looking at the long term cycles would describe as a much-needed pullback? DY 1-4 and 1-6 cycle means have already reached historical lows. DY3, an intermediate long term cycle, has reached nearly -3.75 standard deviations. This is unprecedented. Intermediate-term flows into stocks have exceeded the mania periods from late 1929 and early 1987. These periods did not end well. Yet the majority keeps buying stocks as if everything is normal, and there's nothing to see here.
The only real explanation, which I'm reluctant to introduce because its opinion, is 2022 will be significantly worse than expected, so the invisible hand is front running the coming chaos that will tear through the public sector.
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