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Another trading day in May - another rally. Consolidations barely produce price declines anymore. The S&P 500, today's go to asset, has generated another RESET to triple upside alignment.
Urging caution is a waste of time. It breeds complacency when extreme readings from sentiment to dividend cycles are seemingly no longer apply. While cycles of price and valuations can be stretched, they follow time. Time will run out, but as I have said before it could be 12-18 months before that happens. Of course, I said that several months ago, so we have less time than 12-18 months.
Don't let me stop the party. Price and valuation cycles don't matter until they do. One additional word of caution, watch the sentiment oscillator (LTSO - Line 53 of the Trends tab of the Matrix). If LTSO falls below zero, the stock market enters consolidation or a disagreement between the sentiment and VIX models. Although this doesn't always end rallies, it does represent additional headwinds.
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