Tuesday, June 8, 2021

US #TreasuryBonds Review $TLT $IEF

US TBonds Review

Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Posted on May 26th,

A long time ago, I said something to the effect of the large bullish energy build in the bond market won't matter until it matters, then everyone will freak out. The bullish energy build hasn't been dissipated. Dissipation of bullish energy build tends to occur as price rallies (falling interest rates).

10-Year Bond DI


Fast-forward a few weeks, we're beginning to see it matter. Is price beginning to jump the creek? Is the V-shaped recovery that everyone touting beginning to fall flat on its face? Let the invisible hand answer these questions, because the gurus talk too much and listen too little.

10-Year DI


The 10-Year's DI is beginning to unwind (dissipate) as price moves above resistance. As I have said before, there's plenty of bullish energy available to push yields lower (prices higher). It could be an interesting summer for the V-shape recovery crowd.

10-Year Daily


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