Thursday, July 15, 2021

#DividendYield Cycle Review $SPY #ES_F

Div Yield Cycle
Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

The Dividend Yield's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

The public is certainly oblivious, but tell us something we don't know. Liner valuation like 1.5% dividend yield, or 30 PE that's the problem, it's the movement (acceleration) of price relative to the fundamental over cycles that's the problem.

Line 113 of the Trends Tab of the Matrix has been kicking us in the shins for months. Please download the Matrix and look if you're unfamiliar, or read one of the recent Dividend Cycle Reviews. The Dividend Cycle Means could easily display cycle extremes for many more months. Please don't view stocks insensitive to them, as they're irrelevant today. They matter, but trading/investing works under the premise that cycles don't matter until they matter. In other words, understand the risks and enjoy the ride until the body of evidence that the stocks are vulnerable reaches critical mass. What will this look like?

Composite Equity DI crashes
Sentiment & VIX Models Turn Down
I will be violently waving my arms in video reviews

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Access Key.