Friday, July 23, 2021

US #Economic Review #GDP #Stocks #Investing

Economy Review

Much of today's economic data, time series centralized collected and produced, are highly unreliable. Statisticians employ well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and "hedonics" to adjust outcomes of economic time series as far back as the 1980’s. As long as the public accepts the description of the economic backdrop by this data, and assumes politicians and central bankers are fully responsible for setting direction of them, the drive to massage, spin, and/or manufacture data driven outcomes remains high. Administrations as far back as the 1980’s have utilized heavily modified and revised economic data for political gain.

Experienced teaches us that data can be whatever it wants to be in the short term. Statistical techniques, i.e. tricks, are often reversed through data revisions when nobody is looking. Revisions take place when Administrations or Administration’s goals change.

Subscriber Comments

Welcome to the new world order where big technology names lead the major averages higher. The Great Reset will be dominated/controlled by Big Techs running and knowing everything. Did I forget to mention that the vast majority of citizens are employed by small companies? The Russell 2000, a small cap index, is pinned to the bottom of the table.





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