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So until ET phone home produces results, we're left watching JPOW daily shitshow. That's why I developed the Matrix. We need to study trends and stock market tops without relying on Fed speeches and POS dot-plot timing models.
Many believe the stock market will be saved by the Fed. This will become a failed assumption eventually. The stock market will correct/cash eventually. That outcome will be a process of time. Time will be defined by multiple months, or even years, so when the Internet gurus scream "crash ahead", frame it with the Matrix's Timing A Correction/Crash Section. Readings 50% and higher are troublesome. It means a decline is closer than people expect, but even then, they're usually months away.
The Dow Industrials, for example, could be tracing out a heads and shoulders top. The pattern is currently in the 'right shoulder' phase until price breaks the ice through the neckline. HS patterns tend to be highly symmetrical, so expect the right should to take at least another months to complete - if the pattern is in play. Please keep in mind that the Evolution of the Trade does not use trading patterns specifically, but it does study the flow of time through alignment of the three time frames.
Why is everything heading towards hell in a hand basket? Insert whatever trigger you like, COVID restrictions, supply disruptions, Chinese power problems, Evergrande's debt failure, the budget fiasco that's always resolved by more money, borrowing, and taxes, insanely high debt burdens in the Western economies, or all of the above. The point is, it doesn't matter. The trigger is immaterial to the computer. The computer defines a rising risk of correction, currently at 50%, because a host of factors from excessive dividend yield cycles to the direction of sentiment are bearish.
Please download the Matrix and study the Timing A Correction/Crash section.
Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Access Key.