Thursday, September 16, 2021

#Sugar Review $CANE #SB_F

Sugar Review
Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bag holders of trend transitions.

Sugar's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in the Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Sugar's composite trend has Reset (R). The core position has been up for 10 months and 43% gross profit.

Name Column (Trends Tab)


The composite trend is Trip Up and Mid cycle. It's Mid cycle because mean cycle is x̅ = 0.68. This is a high number. I'm sure traders will be chasing this Reset, but the smart, probability based play is to ignore the Reset and hold the core position. Mid cycle x̅ near 1 don't have a lot of room to run.

Subscribers can do a close inspection of the weekly trend. They'll quickly notice BuS and BuST = 2.9 and 3.0. In other words, the weekly trend has extremely extended price and time cycles. Not something to chase!

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