Wednesday, October 6, 2021

#Commodities Review

Commodities Review
Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bag holders of trend transitions.

Commodities overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.



Subscriber Comments

Extreme cycle concentration often marks the beginning and end of trends. Direction is triggered usually in the opposite direction of extreme concentration. Trends are defined by concentration and direction. The commodity rally ends when extreme cycle concentration materializes. It can materialize over the short-, intermediate, and long-term. Long term cycle extremes usually end secular trends. Use the Matrix to study the short-, intermediate, and long term cycles (C1, C2, C3, and C4). Commodities are beginning to struggle over the short term, because C1 & C2 have reached an extreme similar to 2011, 2008, 2001, and 1995. These cycles need to be framed by C3 & C4. This is a complicated discussion. Please contact me for further discussion on how to use the Matrix.

Spot Commodity Prices: CRB Spot Index (1947 - Present); 16-Raw Industrial Spot Price (1935-1947); Great Britain Wholesale Price of All Commodities (1885-1935), CRB to Gold Ration & Cycles (CRBS1&2)


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Access Key.