Saturday, October 2, 2021

Matrix Updated #Stocks #Bonds #Commodities #Bitcoin

The Matrix
The Matrix, an array that displays alignment of price & volume (trends) within the cycle of TIME, intermarket money flows, and the flow of sentiment, helps subscribers recognize the Evolution of the Trade for 44 markets. Markets include #stocks, #bonds, #forex, #Bitcoin & #Commodities.

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Subscriber Comments

Models like the one presented above can be dangerous when presented as long-term models. It's all about short-term timing, I guess. If that's the case why didn't this long-term model pick up on the 2009 bottom in stocks?

Dividend Yield Cycles C1-C4 certainly did. Subscribers have learned about Dividend Yield Cycles numerous times over 2021 (see charts below). Dividend Yield Cycles influence the "long term". Both Mean 1-4 and 1-6 screamed HISTORIC (meaning massive) buying opportunity in 2009, but according to the long-term model above, today's setup is even more bullish than 2009? Interesting. Today's market setup in terms of price and dividend payout cycles is comparable to 1929, 1987, and 1998 market tops.  Yet, the LT timing model defines a bottom?  Again, interesting.

What's worse, this is but one inconsistency. The Flow of Fund Review - Biggest Stock Market Bubble of All Time? reveals the dangers of bullish stock market narratives.

Dividend Yield Cycles Mean 1-4

Dividend Yield Cycles Mean 1-6

Those obsessed with the short-term only, don't care about long-term risks. Please keep on the Timing A Correction/Crash (TAC) Section in the Trends Tab of the Matrix. A significant stock market decline requires a percentage greater than 50% (even higher), or at least the yellow highlighted boxes checked. Please contact us if you desire further discussion and strategy.


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