Sunday, May 15, 2022

US #Economic Review #GDP #Stocks #Investing

EAC Review
Much of today's economic data, time series officially collected and produced, are highly unreliable. Statisticians employ well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonics to adjust economic outcomes as far back as the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers use these techniques for political gain.

Data massaged by statistical techniques (tricks) get revised when nobody is looking, or Administrations or public policies change.

Subscriber Comments

The Series 1 The $200 Economy & Stock 11/05/21, a series of videos, extends the discussion below.

Is the US economy as strong as advertised? There is no opinion, hope, or beliefs in the answer. Lines 99-110 of the Trends Tab of the Matrix define the economy in terms of the Economic Activity Composite (EAC).

The economy is either expanding or contracting. A contracting backdrop changes the risks for all assets in the Matrix.

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.