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Wheat Review |
Wheat's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.
Subscriber Comments
The Wheat Report, a series of videos, discusses trends, extends the discussion below.
Try not to focus on the fundamentals. Fundamentals, often derived from government reports, carry bias. Although man view this perspective as total Ag heresy, they lack the experience with the invisible hand (IH). The IH trades tomorrow's fundamentals, and adjusts price better than any expert. We watch price, time, and energy cycles rather than acreage, yields, carry-outs, and so on. This helps eliminate bias and official propaganda.
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The primary downtrend (bear market) is clearing the trading floor of bulls. This is how trading works, whether we're talking about #gold, #silver, #corn, #wheat, or #bitcoin. The vast majority of bottoms take place when retail traders are stretchered off the trading floor under a backdrop of extreme pessimism.
Extreme pessimism materializes when the subcomponents of energy (DI) separate to polar extremes. Wheat is remains vulnerable to a FLUSH as long as C WA and NR WA have not separated (see Wheat DI Subcomponents). This not an exercise of opinions, fundamentals, or gut feels, but rather strict computer-driven discipline.
The slow and steady decay of WA (participation) is another hint that a bottom is forming. Nobody, and I mean nobody, will want to own wheat when it bottoms. We use WA to quantify it. WA = 0% represents maximum disgust. Wheat's WA is currently 79%. Too much participation on the downside for a bottom.
Wheat DI Subcomponents
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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.
