Tuesday, May 23, 2023

#Commodities & #Energy Review $USO $UGA #OOTT

C&E Review
Trading noise, the random movement of price over the short term, does not control trends, cycles, and profits. The majority, an emotionally driven group focused solely on price, often interprets it as meaningful information. This leads to confusion, frustration, missed opportunities, and leaves the majority as the bag holders of trend transitions. The Evolution of the Trade helps investors stand separate from the majority.

Commodities overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

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The Commodities & Energy (C&E) Report, a series of videos addressing cycles of price, time, and energy for commodities, oil, and oil related markets, extends the discussion.

The computer follows the Evolution of the Trade (EOT). It remains long or short until the primary trend flips down or up.

The CRB Spot Index's primary trend supported the bullish narrative from October 2022 to June 2022. Narratives, while easy to understand, generally ignore long-term cycles. The long-term cycle for commodities has not changed since 2011. Please watch the 10/18/22 C&E Report, "Introducing Long-Term Cycles" for further discussion and better understanding of commodities.

The bulls are calling for higher commodity prices. Long-term cycles, say "hold-on", but few are listening. Today's review reminds us about the dangers of blind narratives.

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Bullish narratives on commodities are wrong. The invisible hand, not fundamentals, control markets. Longer-term cycles are down. Please watch the Commodities & Energy Report Updates for further discussion. A bullish majority will turn bearish eventually. The E&S Report makes sense of the charts below.

Investing, trading, and producing is not easy. Similar price analysis leads to mistakes.

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.