#Economy & #Stocks Review - Birth/Death Model 😂

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, time series officially collected and produced, are highly unreliable. Statisticians employ well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic to adjust economic outcomes as far back as the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers use these techniques for political gain.

Data massaged by statistical techniques (tricks) are revised when nobody is looking, or Administrations or public policies change.

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Birth/Death Model 😂

The Birth/Death Model (BDM) estimate jobs created outside the traditional labor market. The majority, a group they assume will never read the footnotes or study unpublished trends, has no idea of the importance of this model. 64% of the jobs created through 2024 have been estimated by the BDM. This is the third-highest total since 2007 and 2019. Interesting coincidence, huh?

Frame the above observations with a notable decline in the Economic Activity Composite (EAC). The EAC is discussed further in the Economy & Stock Report, a must-watch for all.

Chart: Birth Death Model

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.