#Economy & #Stocks Review - We Told You The Labor Report Was A Joke

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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We Told You The Labor Report Was A Joke

A new Labor Department report reveals the U.S. added 911,000 fewer jobs than previously estimated in the year before March 2025, signaling a weaker labor market and raising concerns about the accuracy of government data. This annual revision, one of the largest in years, showed sharp job losses across key sectors like leisure and hospitality, business services, and retail. The data mostly predates President Trump's current term but adds pressure on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which has faced criticism and leadership changes. While not a direct reflection of current conditions, recent months also show weak job growth, further fueling calls from Trump for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Final figures will be released in February 2026.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Today's Inflation News Not A Surprise!

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Today's Inflation News, Not A Surprise!

Alan Greenspan's favorite measure of core inflation is coming in hot. Anyone following the invisible hand knew this was coming.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Postal Delivery From 25 Countries Suspended Due to Tariffs

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“If you don't read the newspaper, you're uninformed. If you read the newspaper, you're misinformed.”

“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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Postal Delivery From 25 Countries Suspended Due to Tariffs

As of August 29, 2025, over 25 countries have suspended or restricted postal deliveries to the United States due to sudden changes in U.S. customs rules. This follows the end of the “de minimis” exemption, which previously allowed shipments under $800 to enter duty-free.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - European Security Guarantees

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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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European Security Guarantees

The Kremlin has rejected European proposals to guarantee Ukraine's security through NATO troop deployments, warning it would bring NATO infrastructure into Ukraine—something Moscow strongly opposes. While critical of the European approach, Russia praised U.S. President Trump’s diplomatic efforts and recent talks in Alaska. Moscow also supports reviving a 2022 plan that would make it a security guarantor for Ukraine, though Kyiv opposes this. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov stressed that such negotiations should remain private and noted that Russia and Ukraine remain in contact.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Rats Fleeing the Sinking Neocon Ship?

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Rats Fleeing the Sinking Neocon Ship?

As always, follow the money!

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BREAKING:

🇺🇦🇦🇪 Zelensky has transferred $50 million to the UAE - The Turkish newspaper Aydınlık

The Turkish newspaper Aydınlık has published bank accounts of companies in the UAE, to which Zelensky's circle transfers $50 million monthly.

The companies are linked to Andrey… pic.twitter.com/cOF8h7WmeH

— Megatron (@Megatron_ron) August 12, 2025

It appears that “the cat might be out of the bag” in Ukraine.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Trump Slams Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, Suggests He 'Stick to Being a DJ'

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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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Trump Slams Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, Suggests He 'Stick to Being a DJ'

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Concern is rising as the executive branch transitions from a nursing home to a game show. Both scenarios pose serious risks to policies and the economy.

On Tuesday, former President Donald Trump took aim at Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon in a post on Truth Social, suggesting Solomon should “focus on being a DJ” instead of running the Wall Street firm.

Trump criticized both Solomon and Goldman Sachs for their past warnings that tariffs would damage the U.S. economy and financial markets. Contrary to those predictions, Trump claimed his tariff policies have strengthened the stock market, increased national wealth, and boosted Treasury revenues — all without sparking inflation. He insisted that the burden of tariffs has largely fallen on foreign governments and businesses, not American consumers.

“David Solomon and Goldman Sachs refuse to acknowledge they were wrong,” Trump wrote. “They made inaccurate forecasts about both market reactions and tariffs, and they’ve been proven mistaken — just as they are about many other things.”

In a pointed jab, Trump added: “Maybe David should hire a new economist — or better yet, stick to being a DJ instead of trying to run a major financial institution.”

Trump’s confidence borders on hubris. He seems to think he can outsmart all, including the invisible hand. The economy is currently in a downturn, and with the Federal Reserve likely to cut interest rates, inflation will resume its upward path regardless of the political spin. Please watch The CPI Is A Joke on the Insights Channel further discussion.

If the public enjoys the Oval Office becoming a reality TV show, then so be it. This brief pause in the broader economic decline is temporary. The blame game will become impossible once the sub cycle shifts back down in 2026. Please watch the Economic & Stocks Report for timing and precise tracking of the invisible hand.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Trump Better Be Playing 4D Chess

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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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Trump Better Be Playing 4D Chess

Push this too far, and no one will be playing chess.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Trump America Spun By Democrats

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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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Trump America Spun By Democrats

The Democratic National Committee (DNC) faced backlash Thursday after posting — and then deleting — a graphic on social media that unintentionally highlighted the sharp rise in grocery prices during President Biden’s tenure.

The now-removed post on X featured a chart showing steep increases in the cost of cheese, alcohol, dairy, produce, and meat starting around the beginning of Biden’s presidency in 2021, with data tracing back to October 2019.

Ironically captioned “Trump’s America,” the graphic claimed, “Prices are higher today than they were in July 2024 across all major categories below,” but failed to cite any source for the figures.

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Inflation is neither purely a monetary phenomenon nor the result of a single administration's policies. Both Democrats and Republican, i.e. the Swamp, got us to where we are today. That said, the Biden Administration made several counterproductive decisions during the peak of the pandemic that helped lock in the path toward higher inflation. While prices have since stabilized, they are not going back to pre-pandemic levels.

What’s more concerning, however, is that the Democratic Party’s post received over four thousand likes before it was removed. That alone is a troubling sign of how poorly our education system prepares people to understand real-world economics.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Trump Continues To Pressure Powell

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“If you don't read the newspaper, you're uninformed. If you read the newspaper, you're misinformed.”

“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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Trump Continues To Pressure Powell

On Wednesday, former President Donald Trump used Truth Social to intensify pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates, blaming high rates for harming families and slowing the housing market. Trump criticized Powell as “Too Late” and claimed the U.S. could save $1 trillion annually if rates were three points lower. Despite Trump’s repeated public attacks, the Fed has not responded with any rate cuts since December, when Joe Biden was still president.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - To Americans That Believe The Swamp Is Draining, 😂

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“If you don't read the newspaper, you're uninformed. If you read the newspaper, you're misinformed.”

“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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To Americans That Believe The Swamp Is Draining, 😂

Already under fire from his base for ramping up spending, bombing Iran, sending mixed signals on immigration, and keeping the Epstein files sealed, President Trump now faces fresh backlash over a new weapons transfer to Ukraine. Described by a leading DC hawk as “aggressive,” the deal shifts the financial burden to European allies. It also marks a reversal of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s recent pause on shipments due to concerns over depleted U.S. stockpiles. Trump announced the renewed aid after a “disappointing” call with Putin, insisting the weapons are “primarily defensive.”

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U.S. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham said during an interview today with CBS News that people should “stay tuned” for tomorrow’s announcement from President Trump regarding Russia, with him adding, “The game, regarding Putin's invasion of Russia, is about to change. I expect,… pic.twitter.com/i9wafmCMc1

— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) July 13, 2025

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Neither Power Nor President Hold Enough Strings To Matter

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“If you don't read the newspaper, you're uninformed. If you read the newspaper, you're misinformed.”

“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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Neither Power Nor President Hold Enough Strings To Matter

Bill Pulte, the FHFA director (and Trump ally), claimed he’s “encouraged by reports that Jerome Powell is considering resigning.” As if he knows anything, 😂. These comments, combined with an almost spiritual belief that the President and Fed hold all the strings within the global economy, triggered some late day selling.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - EU Criticizes Russia, Yet

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“If you don't read the newspaper, you're uninformed. If you read the newspaper, you're misinformed.”

“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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EU Criticizes Russia, Yet

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen survived a no-confidence vote in the European Parliament on Thursday, with lawmakers overwhelmingly rejecting the motion by a 360–175 margin. The motion accused her of misconduct, including secretive communication with Pfizer during the pandemic and alleged interference in national elections. Von der Leyen was not present but responded on social media, emphasizing unity against external threats.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - The Beginning of A Golden Age?

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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

― Mark Twain



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The Beginning of A Golden Age?

Challenging the status quo is difficult because it often means confronting deeply entrenched beliefs, systems, and power structures. It requires courage, persistence, and a willingness to face resistance, criticism, and sometimes isolation. Change threatens comfort and control, so even clear logic or better alternatives are often met with skepticism or hostility. Those pushing for change must be prepared for a slow, uphill battle.

"We may one day look back on this as the start of a new golden age for the United States," Vance told reporters during his visit to North Dakota. We certainly hope that's true. But the notion that America can be made great again through the same deficit spending that helped create its current economic problems—and those of the broader West—is hard to reconcile. This isn't about being pro- or anti-American. Our responsibility is to observe Adam Smith's invisible hand and think critically. Nothing more.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - NATO Pledges Money It Doesn't Have

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“Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform (or pause and reflect).”

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NATO Pledges Money It Doesn't Have

At the June 24–25 NATO summit in The Hague, Secretary General Mark Rutte confirmed that European allies and Canada pledged over €35 billion in new support for Ukraine.

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#Economy & #Stocks Review - The Fed Is Trapped

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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The Fed Is Trapped

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Powell warned that tariff-driven inflation is expected to rise over summer, noting “someone has to pay for the tariffs,” and suggesting that consumers will face higher prices as duties pass through the supply chain.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - They Always Have WMD

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They Always Have WMD

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Subscribers are encouraged to ignore social media and read this important update.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - Death of An Empire

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Death of An Empire

Please watch the US Bond, Economy & Stocks, Gold & Silver, and other reports for further discussion about the backdrop and timing.

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In the #News #Economy #Politics - $10B Dollar Bazooka Fired At Common Sense

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$10B Dollar Bazooka Fired At Common Sense

The U.S. Treasury is buying back $10 billion in existing Treasury bonds has sparked discussions across trading desks. The Federal Reserve which typically handles monetary policy and QE has been circumvented. This development has triggered numerous conspiracy theories; most of them are directed at common sense. Many of the conspiracies believe that the buyback program, a rare obsevation, signals something deeper in the workings of bond markets.

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