Tuesday, September 9, 2025

#Economy & #Stocks Review - We Told You The Labor Report Was A Joke

E&S Review
Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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We Told You The Labor Report Was A Joke

A new Labor Department report reveals the U.S. added 911,000 fewer jobs than previously estimated in the year before March 2025, signaling a weaker labor market and raising concerns about the accuracy of government data. This annual revision, one of the largest in years, showed sharp job losses across key sectors like leisure and hospitality, business services, and retail. The data mostly predates President Trump's current term but adds pressure on the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which has faced criticism and leadership changes. While not a direct reflection of current conditions, recent months also show weak job growth, further fueling calls from Trump for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Final figures will be released in February 2026.

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