Wednesday, September 22, 2021

US #TreasuryBonds Review $TLT $IEF

US TBonds Review
Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bag holders of trend transitions.

US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Few bears want to see this, but again, we don't promote narratives.

US Treasury Bonds ETF Weekly Reversals


What are we looking at?



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The Matrix, updated daily usually ahead of NYSE open, recognizes the alignment of daily, weekly, and monthly price and volume trends (the tape) for 44 markets. It also includes analysis of leverage (DI) from the Commitment of Traders (COT) reports*, Intermarket trends that include market leadership and various forms of risk appetite, a true economic activity composite for the United States (EAC), and long-term trends and cycles concentration for US stocks, bonds, and commodities. The Matrix helps subscribers recognize buying and selling opportunities in commodities, bonds, energy, foreign exchange markets, commodities, precious metals, and global equity markets.


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Spend $115 and save $15 on the Subscription Level Access. Expand your understanding of trends, cycles (time), energy, and participation.

Trends are beginning to change in 2021. If you're a past subscriber, enter the 2020, 2019, or older access code in the message to Eric (optional) section, and receive a key today for next month's payment (Oct-Dec $100). See Access Key Page Graphic below.



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#SP500 Review $SPX $SPY

SP 500 Review
Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bag holders of trend transitions.

S&P 500's trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

High volume trading throughout a security's trading history define reversals. Weekly reversal are not as common as daily. They often materialize ahead of intermediate bottoms and tops.



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Access Key.

#Grains Review #Corn #Soybeans #Wheat #Ag

Grains Review
Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bag holders of trend transitions.

Grain's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Good to see some movement happening with the LTCO on the weekly for soybeans. Keeping a very close eye on the developments in soybeans and corn.

Thanks for the update

Jamie


Subscriber Comments

Evolution of the Trade demands patience. It's easy to talk about, but exceptionally hard to execute. The odds favor a weekly trend reset for corn, soybeans, and wheat. If the trends flip down, what next? Patience. The transition from down to up also take time. Judging by the convictions of the bulls on the Internet, waiting for the right setup will only introduce frustration, pain, and disappointment.

Soybeans Weekly Trend


Let's talk about beans weekly trend to develop that patience.



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Access Key.

Matrix Updated #Stocks #Bonds #Commodities #Bitcoin

The Matrix
The Matrix, an array that displays alignment of price & volume (trends) within the cycle of TIME, intermarket money flows, and the flow of sentiment, helps subscribers recognize the Evolution of the Trade for 44 markets. Markets include #stocks, #bonds, #forex, #Bitcoin & #Commodities.

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Subscriber Comments

We don't have a lot to add since Monday's sharp, unexpected decline. Patience remains the play. The major indices from the Dow Industrials to Russell 2000 generated new overhead weekly reversals. Theoretically, a significant US stock rally into Friday could still erase them, but that won't be easy.

The public has been sold that the Fed is all powerful, so trust us when we say the majority won't be prepared if confidence falters. The Fed has no policy tools to address a rapid deterioration of confidence/trust.  The global economy is highly interconnected. Rattling of confidence anywhere within a global economy that's highly leveraged is dangerous. The failure of Evergrande's debt, $18 billion sum being positioned as immaterial on the Internet, matters because everything is interconnected. If this or some other events triggers a chain reaction that shifts confidence from risk-on to risk-off, the game has changed.

The real ticking time bomb is Deutsche Bank, and if you believe Evergrande's and other property managers can't possibly infect it, then the 2x4 to the head teaching moment is inevitable. Deutsche Bank's lending book is so vast and highly leveraged, it wouldn't take much to upset the delicate balance that keeps it solvent. If it happens, perhaps the ECB will stop preaching about climate and social change long enough to expose its ignorance and lack of policy options.






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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Access Key.