Much of today's economic data is unreliable. Statisticians employ well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments as far back as the 1980s. The public accepts mainstream economic narratives, and assumes that politicians and central bankers control them. Administrations as far back as the 1980s have utilized heavily modified and revised economic data for political gain.
Experience teaches that data can be manipulated. Statistical techniques that shape short-term trends support public policy.
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The
Economy & Stock (E&S) Report, a series of videos, discusses trends, cycles, and intermarket flows for the economy, stocks, and more.
The
majority's attempt to time stocks (or any market) is akin to Little Mac enduring a barrage of uppercuts in Mike Tyson's Punch-Out. For those who don't grasp the game, the outcome is often unfavorable. This game, known as interpreting the invisible hand—the collective consciousness of the world—defines the
minority. By evading the perfect storm, the minority survives, while the majority ends up holding the bag.
Most people see what they believe. We try to teach rather than play political games. The invisible hand does not care about politics or beliefs.
The
10/26/26 Report - Filtering Noise Out Of Trends update has been published.
Important Reports:
10/18/26 Report - The Boy That Cried Stocks Will Crash
10/06/26 Report - No Mind
10/02/26 Report - Labor Report Shell Game
09/21/26 Report - So You're Bearish Stocks
09/07/26 Report - Aerospace & Defense Stocks
09/05/26 Report - Will The Real Economy Please Stand Up
08/30/26 Report - Dangerous Months Lie Ahead For Stocks
08/26/26 Report - Rubber Band Is Stretched Hard
08/08/26 Report - Extremely Weak Labor Market Won't Save Stocks
08/05/26 Report - The Stock Train Keeps A Rollin'
08/04/26 Report - Nasty Stagflationary Backdrop Continues
07/30/26 Report - Welcome To The Party, Pal
07/27/26 Report - Risks Are Rising
07/19/26 Short - Interesting Observations This Weekend
07/12/26 Short - The Hated Bull Market
07/02/26 Report - The Rules Of Profit About To Change
06/26/26 Report - It's Time To Pay Attention
06/18/26 Report - New Fed Chair, Same Old Problem
06/05/26 Report - Spoon Feeding Economic Expectations
05/28/26 Report - Economic Backdrop Extremely Fragile
05/26/26 Report - 2026 Could Trigger A Contagion
05/19/26 Report - Hello Again Bear %
05/10/26 Report - Labor Market Distortion
05/04/26 Report - Don't Assume Anything
04/26/26 Report - Stocks, Bonds, Liquidity, and Crisis
04/21/26 Report - Choose Surfing Over Trading
03/29/26 Report - Weakening Consumer
03/25/26 Report - Critical Period For Stocks
03/23/26 Report - Powell Recognizes Labor Market Dislocation
03/20/26 Report - Bullish Decoupling
03/16/26 Report - It's All About the Economy, Stupid
03/14/26 Report - Stock Correction Expanding
03/04/26 Report - Timing A Correction/Crash Model
02/19/26 Report - Economic Transition Ahead, Deterioration Seen Today
02/11/26 Report - Horrific Labor Report
02/11/26 Report - Politics Spin Negatives Into Positives
02/08/26 Report - Economic Activity Composite (EAC) Nearing A Transition
02/05/26 Report - Questioning Risk-On
01/27/26 Report - Stocks, Economy, and Risks
01/16/26 Report - Decoupling Across The Board
01/13/26 Report - Defining The Stock Market Rally
01/09/26 Report - Developing Train Wreck Called 2026
01/07/26 Report - Cause Building In January?
01/05/26 Report - People See What They Believe In Stocks
Please watch the full update on the
Reports Page.
E&S Report Preview
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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.
