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E&S Report

Much of today's economic data is unreliable. Statisticians employ well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments as far back as the 1980s. The public accepts mainstream economic narratives, and assumes that politicians and central bankers control them. Administrations as far back as the 1980s have utilized heavily modified and revised economic data for political gain.

Experience teaches that data can be manipulated. Statistical techniques that shape short-term trends support public policy.

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The Economy & Stock (E&S) Report, a series of videos, discusses trends, cycles, and intermarket flows for the economy, stocks, and more. The report updated on 04/22/25.

The majority's attempt to time stocks (or any market) is akin to Little Mac enduring a barrage of uppercuts in Mike Tyson's Punch-Out. For those who don't grasp the game, the outcome is often unfavorable. This game, known as interpreting the invisible hand—the collective consciousness of the world—defines the minority. By evading the perfect storm, the minority survives, while the majority ends up holding the bag.

Most people see what they believe. We try to teach rather than play political games. The invisible hand does not care about politics or beliefs.

The 04/23/25 Report - Reversal The Bears Were Wrong update has been posted.

Important Reports:

04/22/25 Report - Stock Investors Afraid Of Their Own Shadows
04/19/25 Report - Cash Was King
04/16/25 Report - VIX Will Lead
04/12/25 Report - Change Is Coming
04/10/25 Report - Tariffs and Playing Politics
04/06/25 Report - Stocks, Oh The Humanity!
04/03/25 Report - Cash Is King
03/29/25 Report - Inflection Point For Stocks
03/26/25 Report - Stock Rally Lacks Power
03/20/25 Report - Study of Volume For Dow Industrials
03/18/25 Report - Correction or Crash? 03/11/25 Report - Talking Stocks
03/11/25 Report - Crisis Incoming
03/10/25 Report - Majority Is Too Optimistic and Complacent
03/06/25 Report - Stock Discussion: Cash Is King
02/26/25 Report - Slow & Steady Deterioration
02/23/25 Report - Complacency, Denial, and Timing
02/08/25 Report - Don't Force A Position
02/02/25 Report - The Trade War Begins
01/30/25 Report - Economic Activity Composite Influences All Trends
01/14/25 Report - Importance of Small Cap Stocks
01/12/25 Report - Don't Be Complacent With Stocks!
01/10/25 Report - BLS (Labor Report) Hides Distortions
01/04/25 Report - You Will Fail Without Discipline

Please watch the full update on the Reports Page.

E&S Report Preview


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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.