#Economy & #Stocks Review - The Fed Is Trapped

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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The Fed Is Trapped

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Powell warned that tariff-driven inflation is expected to rise over summer, noting “someone has to pay for the tariffs,” and suggesting that consumers will face higher prices as duties pass through the supply chain.

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