Sunday, January 22, 2023

US #TreasuryBonds Review $TLT $IEF

US TBonds Review
Trading noise, the random movement of price over the short term, does not control trends, cycles, and profits. The majority, an emotionally driven group focused solely on price, often interprets it as meaningful information. This leads to confusion, frustration, missed opportunities, and leaves the majority as the bag holders of trend transitions. The Evolution of the Trade helps investors stand separate from the majority.

US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

The Economy & Stock (E&S) Report, a series of videos, extends the discussion.

Mainstream media (MSM) is beginning to hint, or plant the suggestion that inflation has peaked. We have two issues with this suggestion. First, the consumer price index is so badly massaged by statistical techniques it's a shadow of the 1921 Index that dominated headlines until 1980. After 1980, statisticians began massaging the index lower. This culminated in the Boskin Commission burying it in the backyard to better manage Social Security payouts. Today's pre-1980 CPI rate would be nearly 20%. Second, who watches MSM?

Inflation, like securities, ebbs, and flows. The next ebb cycle will only set up more bag holders to the inflation is dead spin job.

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Social media is littered with forecasts of higher rates in 2023. The long-term cycle pushing up interest rates for decades makes it an easy call.



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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.