#Economy & #Stocks Review - The Majority Is Unprepared

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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The Majority Is Unprepared

Reality, from labor report revisions to an unexpected drop in retail sales, is right before our eyes 👀.

Reality

JUST IN - U.S. retail sales drop sharply in January. pic.twitter.com/kPdsn5IwnT

— Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) February 14, 2025

The majority, however, remains unprepared. Comments like the one below, which discuss the expectations of a “paper recession”😂, remind us of the old saying "whistling past the graveyard”, an attempt to project calm to mask underlying fear.

If we get a paper recession because we deport 7 million illegals and make a million federal workers find productive jobs it will be the most prosperous recession in American history 🫡

— Peter St Onge, Ph.D. (@profstonge) February 14, 2025

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.