#Economy & #Stocks Review - Transitory Inflation Is Back

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Transitory Inflation Is Back

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently brought back the term "transitory" during his March 19, 2025, press conference. He used it to describe inflation driven by tariffs, suggesting that these effects are temporary and largely confined to this year. Powell's remarks reassured investors, leading to a significant market rally.

That rally, however, has been erased.

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.