#Economy & #Stocks Review - Economic Data Publication Is Not Guaranteed

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Economic Data Publication Is Not Guaranteed

The White House warned Wednesday that October’s jobs and inflation reports may never be released due to the ongoing government shutdown, which has halted data collection at key agencies like the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said the shutdown has “severely impaired” the federal statistical system, accusing Democrats of causing permanent damage. Economists caution that while some data may be recovered later, crucial indicators such as the CPI and unemployment rate could be lost entirely—leaving the Federal Reserve without key information during a critical policy period.

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