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College Graduate Unemployment Rising

The U.S. job market remains strong overall, but new college graduates are facing the toughest hiring environment in a decade. Despite solid job growth, unemployment for young workers has risen to 10.4%, and experts warn this may signal a slowing economy or potential recession. Reports show that Gen Z graduates are struggling to secure full-time positions as employers cut entry-level roles, sometimes replacing them with AI, while economic uncertainty and inflation further limit opportunities.

Data from recent surveys shows declining job offers, with fewer 2025 graduates landing positions in their field compared with prior years. Employers are also increasingly pessimistic about hiring prospects for upcoming graduating classes. Economists warn that prolonged difficulty entering the workforce can have lasting effects, including weaker wage growth and widening income inequality.

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JUST IN: Americans with college degrees now make up a record 25% of all unemployed.

— Polymarket (@Polymarket) November 24, 2025

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The job market is exposing a major disconnect between job expectations for college graduates, and real-world job prospects. A growing share of unemployed Americans hold degrees, and recent graduates are experiencing higher unemployment than the national average. Colleges expanded enrollment and . raised prices while assuring students that any degree would lead to stability, but employers stopped treating credentials as guarantees. Personally, I take this observation with a grain of salt (a lot of skepticism), as most employers couldn't read the invisible hand, or investment backdrop if we laid it out for them in a PowerPoint presentation. Automation, screams Elon Musk and others, shifting economic conditions, says the economic shit show unfolding, and the disappearance of traditional entry-level roles to HAL 9000 (AI) have left many young professionals struggling to find a foothold.

Even tech degrees, once the safest route to immediate employment, have lost their sheen. After pandemic over hiring, tech companies cut staff, froze junior roles, and began automating the very tasks that used to justify hiring new engineers. That is, until they realize AI lacks emotional intelligence necessary for exceptional creative thought. U.S. graduates now face rivals abroad who can do similar work at much lower cost.  Thank you, global connectivity. While demand for top engineers remains, the pathway into the field has become narrower and more competitive, hollowing out the mid-tier opportunities that once sustained early careers.

Which type of work survives? The experts say, jobs tied to the physical world such as healthcare, trades, infrastructure, energy, and mechanical work, remain durable because they require hands-on skills, judgment, and accountability. Don't kid yourself, one bone rattling economic depression will pound these jobs too.

College can still be valuable, say the same experts that couldn't see this backdrop coming and now telling the youth that education doesn't guarantee success. Perhaps the experts need a change of profession? The "education doesn't guarantee success" argument is probably the biggest pile of shit sold to the youth so far. Education, which the majority typically views as memorization of facts, test scores, and well-constructed reports, is a lifetime process that begins with asking the right questions. If you fail to ask questions, and the 2x4 comes from both the university and trade school graduates. Discovery comes when you break free from accepted knowledge, and forge a new path. Anyone that believes AI takes us there without fear, greed, pain, sorrow, grief, and other emotions is being sold another pile of shit. Can AI truly be hungry for knowledge, fight for survival without consciousness understanding of organic life? Where's Aristotle when you need him?

Follow me on 𝕏 or Facebook for further discussion.

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