#Economy & #Stocks Review - Suspension of Economic Data, A Serious Warning

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Suspension of Economic Data, A Serious Warning

The Labor Department will not release October’s monthly jobs report because the government shutdown prevented the collection of household survey data, which cannot be gathered retroactively. Payroll survey data for October will instead be included in the November report, now delayed to December 16 with an extended data-collection period. The gap leaves economists and policymakers, including the Federal Reserve, without a full picture of labor-market conditions until mid-December. Other reports, such as September jobs data and producer and trade price indexes, will still be released, and the September and October JOLTS data will be combined for a December 9 release.

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The failure of the government to report October 2025 screams warning! But, hey, people see what they believe in, read on only if you seek the truth.

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