Thursday, June 22, 2023

#Grains Review #Corn #Soybeans #Wheat #Ag

Grains Review
The random short-term fluctuations in price, often referred to as trading noise, do not dictate long-term trends, cycles, and profits. The majority, a group driven by emotions and solely focused on price, focus on the short-term. This leads to confusion, frustration, missed opportunities, and leave them as the bag holders during trend transitions. Investors can avoid this trend by using the Evolution of the Trade, and become part of the exclusive minority.

Grain's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

The #Corn, #Soybeans, and #Wheat Reports, series of videos in each, expand the discussion below. #OATT
"Top Gun rules of engagement exists for your safety and for that of your team. They are not flexible, nor am I. Either obey them, or you're history. Is that clear?"

The principles of engagement protect us from self. Egos construct stories when trading requires understanding of reality. While some perceive the recent rallies in corn ($CORN = 17.7%), soybeans ($SOYB = 17.2%), and wheat ($WEAT = 20.5%) during June as historically significant, they ignore long-term data that challenges the story. The June rallies haven't reached the top 10 in terms of magnitude (refer to the Output Table). Don't let fear drive your decision-making.

Corn Monthly Returns since 1850

Soybeans Monthly Returns since 1850

Wheat Monthly Returns since 1840

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