Monday, August 8, 2022

#Coffee Review $JO #KC_F

Coffee Review
Trading noise, the random movement of price over the short term, does not control trends, cycles, and profits. The majority, an emotionally driven group focused solely on price, often interprets it as meaningful information. This leads to confusion, frustration, missed opportunities, and leaves the majority as the bag holders of trend transitions. The Evolution of the Trade helps investors stand separate from the majority.

Coffee's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments



The Series 1 Coffee Report 12/06/21, a series of videos, extends the discussion below.

Coffee Daily


Coffee's primary trend has been up for 21 months. The recent consolidation, the misalignment of the daily, weekly, and monthly trends, has reduced the primary trend's profit to 54%.    The primary trend will enter a Flip in Progress (down) if price continues to decline.

Coffee's Primary Trend


The bulls are growing increasing impatient and frustrated. The bears are beginning to growl. This makes the majority vulnerable to narratives that ignore an asset's the life cycle.







Asset Life Cycle


The Evolution of the Trade (EOT), however, doesn't care about opinions. The Alignment & Energy phase (phase 3) of the EOT does not permit shorting until the primary trend flips down. Shorting may not be permitted even if the primary trend flips down. The key metric in the Alignment & Energy Phase is Energy. Focus on it to better understand if price will jump the creek or break the ice. This will be closely monitored for an update to the Coffee Report.


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