#Economy & #Stocks Review - Look For Decoupling As The Rubber Band Stretches

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Look For Decoupling As The Rubber Band Stretches

The interplay between reward and risk is closely tracked by the computer should daily and weekly changes in correlations between stocks, VIX, and the term structure within the VIX contract.



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It's not often you see this:

The Volatility Index, $VIX, is now up +3% on the day as the S&P 500 hits record highs, gold hits record highs, and tech stocks surge.

All as US yields have turned green and Nvidia is investing $100 billion in OpenAI.

What is happening here? pic.twitter.com/uJxdxJbZlk

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) September 22, 2025

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