#Economy & #Stocks Review - Struggling Consumer Points Toward A Recession in 2026

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Struggling Consumer Points Toward A Recession in 2026

Target will cut 1,800 corporate jobs, roughly 8% of its headquarters staff, to cut costs after four years of flat sales. The restructuring includes 1,000 layoffs and the elimination of 800 vacant positions. Incoming CEO Michael Fiddelke, currently COO and set to assume the CEO role on February 1, announced the move in a memo, marking Target’s first significant layoffs in a decade. The cuts aim to streamline operations and accelerate decision-making amid declining sales, weak store traffic, and inventory issues, with revenue expected to drop again this year. Target’s stock has fallen 65% since 2021, underperforming competitors like Walmart. Affected employees will receive pay and benefits through early January, plus severance. Store and supply chain positions remain unaffected.

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