#Economy & #Stocks Review - Everyone Believes Falling Interest Rates Are Bullish For Stocks

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Everyone Believes Falling Interest Rates Are Bullish For Stocks

US stocks rose Wednesday after the Federal Reserve delivered its final rate cut of the year — a quarter-point reduction that brought the benchmark rate to 3.5%–3.75%. The Dow gained about 1%, the S&P 500 rose 0.7% to just shy of a record, and the Nasdaq added 0.3%, while the Russell 2000 hit a new all-time high.

The Fed signaled a slower pace of easing ahead and revealed internal disagreements over the decision. Chair Jerome Powell said inflation remains on track despite a temporary boost from tariffs, and highlighted ongoing economic strength, including growth tied to AI.

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