#Economy & #Stocks Review - Are Stocks In Trouble?

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Are Stocks In Trouble?

Not yet, but since we taught the computer, we know the composite trend is close to a transition from up to down. The odds of bear market will rise, as the bear % climbs above 50%.

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.