Tuesday, January 21, 2025

#Economy & #Stocks Review Death By Tariffs

E&S Review
Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Death By Tariffs

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The majority is slowly convincing itself that Trump is playing a game of two-dimensional chess by threatening to impose tariffs on major trading partners. Be warned, groupthink is extremely dangerous to portfolios.



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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.