Thursday, March 13, 2025

#Economy & #Stocks Review - Recessions Called Detoxes Now

E&S Review
Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Recessions Called Detoxes Now

"Detox" does not have to be a recession, per Treasury Secretary Bessent.

Follow the invisible hand, and word games like Detox won't matter.

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03/11/25 Report - Crisis Incoming discusses the risks beginning to be reflected in trend changes such as Ethereum, Housing Stocks, Bonds, and more.

Treasury Secretary Bessent refers to it as "Detox." However, we see it as a recession that could potentially escalate into a depression if tariffs are imposed, the Ukraine War escalates to World War III, digital currencies are introduced, or a combination of all three.

Follow me on 𝕏 or Facebook for further discussion.

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