Wednesday, May 7, 2025

In the #News #Economy #Politics - War Following the Economic Cycle

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War Following the Economic Cycle

Active conflicts and wars are intensifying globally. From the Ukraine–Russia war, tensions over Taiwan to the Israel–Hamas conflict, the Yemen Civil War, and enduring India–Pakistan hostilities, multiple flashpoints are escalating as the global economic cycle trends downward. In this environment, war is increasingly used as a tool of distraction and control, particularly as peripheral economies falter under the strain of debt and prolonged fiscal mismanagement. While war is often framed as spontaneous or isolated, it typically follows our Economic Activity Composite (EAC) and cycle. The cycle is down, and the EAC is deteriorating quickly.

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