Tuesday, June 10, 2025

#Economy & #Stocks Review - Where Is Money Going In June?

E&S Review
Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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Where Is Money Going In June?

Forget about the reasons driving trends. Follow the money.

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Intermarket trends indicate that the market remains relatively defensive. Currently, the only sectors showing a positive LTCO, meaning they are outperforming the S&P 500, are gold stocks, gold, Nasdaq 100, silver, Bitcoin, and banks.

Intermarket LTCO


The +/- sort, a task easily handled by the computer, highlights the hottest short-term sectors. Leading the pack is the Nasdaq 100 at 62%, far outpacing the next closest—Treasury Bills at just 10%. It's clear that big tech names are attracting the most capital in June.

Intermarket +/-


Understanding intermarket trends, where capital is flowing, supports the stock market and risk-on strategy discussed 06/10/25 Report - Playing Risk-On With One Foot Out The Door, and 06/10/25 Report - Surfing With One Foot Out the Door of the E&S and Bitcoin Report updates.

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.