Thursday, September 11, 2025

US #TreasuryBond Review $TLT $IEF - Inflation

US Bonds Review
Short-term price fluctuations do not influence long-term trends, cycles, and profitability. The majority, guided by price trends and emotions, concentrate on short-term trading noise rather than cyclical trends of price, time, and energy. This focus creates confusion, frustration, missed chances, and typically leaves them holding the bag during trend shifts. Investors can sidestep this pattern by embracing the Evolution of the Trade and aligning with the minority.

US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

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Inflation

Inflation rose in August, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) up 2.9% annually and 0.4% month-over-month, driven by higher gasoline and food prices. Core inflation remained steady at 3.1% year-over-year. Despite the uptick in prices, markets still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% at its upcoming meeting, with rising chances of a larger 0.5% cut. This comes amid signs of a weakening labor market, as jobless claims hit a nearly four-year high and revisions showed the U.S. added 911,000 fewer jobs than previously thought. Markets anticipate a total of 0.75% in rate cuts by year-end.

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The Matrix provides market-driven trend, cycles, and intermarket analysis.