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| US Bonds Review |
US Treasury bond’s overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.
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Taming Inflation?
Wholesale prices unexpectedly declined by 0.1% in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, giving the Federal Reserve more room to consider an interest rate cut at its upcoming meeting. The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures input costs, fell short of expectations, while the core PPI—excluding food and energy also dipped by 0.1%. This easing in inflation, especially in services and trade sectors, led to gains in stock futures and a slight dip in Treasury yields.
Markets now fully expect the Fed to cut rates, possibly by a quarter point, with a 10% chance of a half-point cut. Despite inflation still being above the Fed’s 2% target, softening housing, wage pressures, and a weaker labor market have shifted focus. A recent report showed job growth was nearly 1 million lower than previously estimated, raising concerns. The Fed is set to make its rate decision and provide updated economic projections next week.
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