Monday, October 27, 2025

#Bitcoin Review $GBTC #BTC - The Digital Euro Follow Up

Bitcoin Review
Trading noise, the random movement of price over the short term, does not control trends, cycles, and profits. The majority, an emotionally driven group focused solely on price, often interprets it as meaningful information. This leads to confusion, frustration, missed opportunities, and leaves the majority as the bag holders of trend transitions. The Evolution of the Trade helps investors stand separate from the majority.

Bitcoin's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

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The Digital Euro Follow Up

The standard Internet response to Bollinger's “Who doesn't like this chart?” as follows:

The recent price action shows a classic Bollinger Band “W” bottom pattern following the early October washout—an initial overshoot below the lower band, a second higher low inside the band, and a subsequent bounce. Volatility is now contracting (Bandwidth rolling over), price is holding above the lower band with higher intraday lows, and selling pressure is fading—suggesting short-term upside potential.

The 20-day moving average (around 115–116k), however, is declining and could act as resistance, and the still-wide bands imply choppy conditions rather than a sustained trend. The base case favors a 60–65% chance of mean reversion toward the mid-band and possibly the upper band (118–122k), confirmed by a daily close above the 20-day with rising volume. A close below 106–107k would invalidate this view. Overall, the setup is structurally neutral but tactically constructive, leaning bullish unless the 20-day rejects price.

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