#Economy & #Stocks Review - The Government Shutdown Hides Economic Deterioration

E&S Review

Much of today's economic data, including officially collected and produced time series, is highly unreliable. Statisticians use well-documented techniques such as geometric smoothing, seasonal adjustments, substitution, double counting, and hedonic adjustments to modify economic outcomes dating back to the 1980s. Politicians and central bankers often leverage these techniques for political gain.

Data manipulated by these statistical methods are frequently revised without clear notification to the public, especially when administrations or public policies change.

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The Government Shutdown Hides Economic Deterioration

The latest update to the Commodities & Energy Report discusses the economic deterioration in further detail.

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The big #risk for the #market next year is the #earnings expectations fail to be realized causing a revaluation of the market. The latest data from the @ChicagoFed certainly casts some concern that #economic growth is slowing as hiring expectations for next year have tumbled to… pic.twitter.com/AtZKVKvLqZ

— Lance Roberts (@LanceRoberts) October 23, 2025

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